AL Central Race

With little more than a month left in the regular season, the White Sox (71-53) are a game ahead of the Twins (70-54) in the AL Central. Both teams are solid at home (Sox, 43-19; Twins, 44-23) and not so solid on the road (Sox, 28-34; Twins, 26-31). Both teams have some grueling road trips coming up. The Sox have a 10-gamer starting next week, and then a 10-gamer from 9/15-9/25, including a 3-game set in Minnesota from 9/23-9/25. Meanwhile, the Twins start a mammoth 14-game road trip this Thursday and have another 10-gamer from 9/12-9/22.

The Sox have 38 more games scheduled (including a make-up game against Baltimore next Monday): 18 home games and 20 road games.
-2 vs. Seattle (4th in AL West, 46-77 overall, 22-39 on the road)
-3 vs. Tampa Bay (1st in AL East, 75-48 overall, 30-31 on the road)
-4 at Baltimore (5th in AL East, 60-63 overall, 31-24 at home)
-3 at Boston (2nd in AL East, 71-53 overall, 43-18 at home)
-3 at Cleveland (4th in AL Central, 56-67 overall, 33-29 at home)
-3 vs. Los Angeles (1st in AL West, 76-46 overall, 39-23 on the road)
-4 vs. Toronto (4th in AL East, 64-60 overall, 30-34 on the road)
-3 vs. Detroit (3rd in AL Central, 60-64 overall, 27-36 on the road)
-4 at New York (3rd in AL East, 66-58 overall, 38-27 at home)
-3 at Kansas City (5th in AL Central, 55-69 overall, 28-34 at home)
-3 at Minnesota (tied 1st in AL Central, 70-53 overall, 44-22 at home)
-3 vs. Cleveland (4th in AL Central, 56-67 overall, 23-38 on the road)

The Twins have 38 more games: 14 home games and 24 road games.
-2 vs. Oakland (3rd in AL West, 56-67 overall, 22-34 on the road)
-4 at Los Angeles (1st in AL West, 76-46 overall, 37-23 at home)
-3 at Seattle (4th in AL West, 46-77 overall, 24-38 at home)
-4 at Oakland (3rd in AL West, 56-67 overall, 34-33 at home)
-3 at Toronto (4th in AL East, 64-60 overall, 34-26 at home)
-3 vs. Detroit (3rd in AL Central, 60-64 overall, 27-36 on the road)
-3 vs. Kansas City (5th in AL Central, 55-69 overall, 27-35 on the road)
-3 at Baltimore (5th in AL East, 60-63 overall, 31-24 at home)
-3 at Cleveland (4th in AL Central, 56-67 overall, 33-29 at home)
-4 at Tampa Bay (1st in AL East, 75-48 overall, 45-17 at home)
-3 vs. Chicago (tied 1st in AL Central, 70-53 overall, 28-34 on the road)
-3 vs. Kansas City (5th in AL Central, 55-69 overall, 27-35 on the road)

Going by the law of averages, the Sox should go 13-5 at home and 9-11 on the road, to go 22-16 over their last 38 games and end up at 93-69. Meanwhile, the Twins should go 9-5 at home and 11-13 on the road, to go 20-18 over their last 42 games and end up at 90-72. Nice.