Updated Championship Week Predictions: "Looks Like We Made It"

Today's Championship Week theme song is Barry Manilow's schmaltzy #1 1977 hit "Looks Like We Made It," for all the bubble teams that got a much-needed win yesterday.  It was a wild day of buzzer beaters, epic comebacks, 38 games out of 61 decided by single digits, a lot of upsets, 1-seeds getting some scares, and bubbles both burst and hardening.  Today, we have 44 games over the course of 15 hours, beginning with Illinois and Indiana in the quarterfinals of the Big Ten Tournament tipping off at 11:30 a.m. Eastern, and ending with Colorado State and San Diego State in the Mountain West semis tipping off at 11:59 p.m. Eastern.

Here's what happened in yesterday's action:

• In the ACC quarterfinals, 1-seed Duke held off 9-seed Syracuse, 88-79, 7-seed Virginia Tech upset 2-seed Notre Dame, 87-80, likely securing the Hokies' spot in the NCAA Tournament, 3-seed North Carolina dominated 6-seed Virginia, 63-43, and 4-seed Miami avoided a devastating loss with a last-second lay-up in overtime to beat 13-seed Boston College, 71-69, to advance to today's semis.
• In the Big 12 quarters, 1-seed Kansas crushed 9-seed West Virginia, 87-63, 7-seed Oklahoma shocked 2-seed Baylor, 72-67, potentially costing the Bears a 1-seed in the NCAA Tournament, 3-seed Texas Tech destroyed 6-seed Iowa State, 72-41, and 5-seed TCU boosted its NCAA Tournament hopes with a 65-60 win over 4-seed Texas, to advance to today's semifinals.
• In the Big East quarterfinals, 1-seed Providence avoided an upset with a 65-61 win over 9-seed Butler, 2-seed Villanova needed two free throws with 2.8 seconds left to beat 7-seed St. John's, 66-65, 3-seed UConn beat 6-seed Seton Hall, 62-52, and 4-seed Creighton won a battle of bubble teams against 5-seed Marquette, 74-63, to advance to today's semis.
• In the Big Sky quarterfinals, top seed Montana State disposed of 8-seed Sacramento State, 83-61, 7-seed Portland State took down 2-seed Southern Utah, 77-65, 3-seed Northern Colorado escaped three shot attempts in the last couple seconds to beat 6-seed Eastern Washington, 68-67, and 4-seed Weber State beat 5-seed Montana, 68-56, to advance to today's semifinals.
• In the Big West quarters, 1-seed Long Beach State beat 9-seed Cal State Bakersfield, 72-61, 2-seed Cal State Fullerton knocked out 7-seed UC Davis, 73-55, 3-seed Hawaii got the better of 6-seed UC Riverside, 68-67, and 5-seed UC Santa Barbara beat 4-seed UC Irvine, 78-69, to advance to today's semifinals.
• In the Conference USA quarterfinals, East 1-seed Middle Tennessee State needed OT to top West 4-seed UTEP, 66-59, West 1-seed North Texas easily beat West 5-seed Rice, 68-50, West 3-seed Louisiana Tech downed East 2-seed Western Kentucky, 59-57, and West 2-seed UAB beat East 3-seed FAU, 80-66, to advance to today's semifinals.
• In the second half of the MAAC quarterfinals, 11-seed Quinnipiac continued its unlikely quest for the school's first-ever NCAA Tournament berth with a 77-71 upset of 3-seed Siena, and 4-seed Monmouth held off 5-seed Niagara, 61-58, to advance to today's semifinals.
• In the MAC quarterfinals, things went chalk to ensure an all-Ohio semis.  Top seed Toledo needed a bucket with 10 seconds left to avoid being upset by 8-seed Central Michigan and escape with a 72-71 win, 2-seed Kent State beat 7-seed Miami, 3-seed Ohio topped 6-seed Ball State, 77-67, and 4-seed Akron squeaked by 5-seed Buffalo, 70-68, to advance to today's semifinals.
• In the second half of the MEAC quarterfinals, 3-seed North Carolina Central ousted 6-seed Maryland Eastern Shore, 68-56, and 4-seed Morgan State beat 5-seed South Carolina State, 80-77, to advance to today's semifinals.
• In the Mountain West quarterfinals, 1-seed Boise State avoided disaster by holding off a late rally from 8-seed Nevada for a 71-69 win, 2-seed Colorado State got a lay-up with 1.8 seconds left to beat 7-seed Utah State, 53-51, 3-seed San Diego State beat 6-seed Fresno State, 53-46, and 4-seed Wyoming scored the last seven points of the game to escape with a 59-56 win over 5-seed UNLV, to advance to today's semifinals.
• In the Pac-12 quarterfinals, top seed Arizona came from behind and eked out an 84-80 win over 9-seed Stanford to keep its hopes of a 1-seed in the NCAA Tournament alive, 2-seed UCLA dropped 7-seed Washington State, 75-65, 3-seed USC eked out a win over 6-seed Washington, 65-61, and 4-seed Colorado took down 5-seed Oregon, 80-69, to advance to today's semifinals.
• In the second half of the SWAC quarterfinals, 6-seed Grambling upset arch rivals 3-seed Southern, 60-58, and 5-seed Alabama A&M beat 4-seed Florida A&M, 61-56, to advance to today's semis.
• In the WAC quarterfinals, 6-seed Abilene Christian upset 3-seed Stephen F. Austin, 76-62, and 4-seed Grand Canyon beat 5-seed Sam Houston State, 71-66, to advance to today's semifinals.
• In the Second Round of the A-10, 5-seed St. Louis topped 12-seed LaSalle, 71-51, 6-seed Richmond beat 11-seed Rhode Island, 64-59, 10-seed UMass took down 7-seed George Washington, 99-88, and 8-seed Fordham beat 9-seed George Mason, 54-49, to advance to today's quarterfinals.
• In the Second Round of the Big Ten, 9-seed Indiana rallied from a 17-point deficit with 11 minutes left to stun 8-seed Michigan, 74-69, in what may be an NCAA Tournament knockout (Juwan Howard pun intended) game for the Wolverines, depending on how other bubble teams perform, 5-seed Iowa destroyed 12-seed Northwestern, 111-76, 11-seed Penn State upset 6-seed Ohio State, 71-68, and 7-seed Michigan State held off 10-seed Maryland, 76-72, to advance to today's quarterfinals.
• In the Second Round of the SEC, 5-seed LSU beat 12-seed Missouri, 76-68, 11-seed Vanderbilt upset 6-seed Alabama, 82-76, 10-seed Mississippi State upset 7-seed South Carolina, 73-51, and in a battle of bubble teams, 8-seed Texas A&M hit a 3 at the buzzer in overtime for an 83-80 win over 9-seed Florida, to advance to today's quarterfinals.
• In the Second Round of the Southland, which effectively acts as the quarterfinals, 3-seed New Orleans downed 6-seed McNeese State, 82-78, and 4-seed Texas A&M CC topped 5-seed Houston Baptist, 75-60, to advance to today's semis.
• In the First Round of the AAC, 6-seed UCF beat its directional rival 11-seed South Florida, 60-58, 10-seed Tulsa topped 7-seed Wichita State, 73-67, and 8-seed Cincinnati beat 9-seed ECU, 74-63, to advance to today's quarterfinals.
• No conference tournaments start today, but 18 conference tournaments have games today, none with finals, 14 with semifinals (ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big Sky, Big West, C-USA, MAAC, MAC, MEAC, Mountain West, Pac-12, Southland, SWAC, WAC), and 4 with quarterfinals (AAC, A-10, Big Ten, SEC).  All of the remaining championship games are tomorrow or Sunday.
• Here are the teams that have never been to the NCAA Tournament who are still playing in conference tournaments that have already started or will start today (not including teams who are ineligible for this year's NCAA Tournament):
• MAAC:  11-seed Quinnipiac
• SWAC:  6-seed Grambling
• Bubble teams that won yesterday:  Boise State, Colorado State, Creighton, Indiana, Miami, Michigan State, North Carolina, North Texas, Oklahoma, San Diego State, TCU, Texas A&M, Virginia Tech, Wyoming
• Bubble teams that lost yesterday:  Florida, Iowa State, Marquette, Michigan, Notre Dame, Oregon, Seton Hall, Virginia
• Bubble teams still playing but not in action yesterday:  Davidson, Dayton, Memphis, Rutgers, SMU, VCU

With that, here are the tournaments starting today, the tournaments with games today, bids up for grab today, who has already clinched an automatic berth, and my predictions for the remaining conference tournaments.

Tournaments starting today

-None

Tournaments with games today

-AAC

-ACC

-Atlantic 10

-Big 12

-Big East

-Big Sky

-Big Ten

-Big West

-Conference USA

-MAAC

-MAC

-MEAC

-Mountain West

-Pac-12

-SEC

-Southland

-SWAC

-WAC

Bids up for grabs today (all times Eastern)

-None

Already clinched automatic berths (I will add in parentheses the NCAA tournament appearances for each school, including the bid just clinched and last NCAA Tournament appearance where applicable, and the year of the team's last NCAA Tournament appearance.  For conferences whose tournaments have not yet ended, I'll list the date of the championship game.)

-AAC (March 13)

-ACC (March 12)

-America East (March 12)

-Atlantic 10 (March 13)

-Atlantic Sun:  Jacksonville State (2; 2017)

-Big 12 (March 12)

-Big East (March 12)

-Big Sky (March 12)

-Big South:  Longwood (1; never)

-Big Ten (March 13)

-Big West (March 12)

-Colonial:  Delaware (6; 2014)

-Conference USA (March 12)

-Horizon:  Wright State (4; 2018)

-Ivy League (March 13)

-MAAC (March 12)

-MAC (March 12)

-MEAC (March 12)

-Missouri Valley:  Loyola (IL) (8; 2021)

-Mountain West (March 12)

-Northeast Conference:  Bryant (1; never)

-Ohio Valley:  Murray State (19; 2019)

-Pac-12 (March 12)

-Patriot League:  Colgate (5; 2021)

-SEC (March 13)

-Southern Conference:  Chattanooga (12; 2016)

-Southland (March 12)

-Summit:  South Dakota State (6; 2018)

-Sun Belt:  Georgia State (6; 2019)

-SWAC (March 12)

-WAC (March 12)

-West Coast:  Gonzaga (24; 2021)

Remaining Tournaments (all times are Eastern)

AAC (March 10-13; Fort Worth)

3/11 – Quarterfinals

1 p.m. (ESPN2) (1) Houston vs. (8) Cincinnati.  Predicted winner:  Houston

3 p.m. (ESPN2) (4) Temple vs. (5) Tulane.  Predicted winner:  Temple

7 p.m. (ESPNU) (2) SMU vs. (10) Tulsa.  Predicted winner:  SMU

9 p.m. (ESPNU) (3) Memphis vs. (6) UCF.  Predicted winner:  Memphis

3/12 – Semifinals

3 p.m. (ESPN2) (1) Houston vs. (4) Temple.  Predicted winner:  Houston

5 p.m. (ESPN2) (2) SMU vs. (3) Memphis.  Predicted winner:  Memphis

3/13 – Finals

3:15 p.m. (ESPN) (1) Houston vs. (3) Memphis.  Predicted winner:  Houston

ACC (March 8-12; Brooklyn)

3/11 – Semifinals

7 p.m. (ESPN/ESPN2) (1) Duke vs. (4) Miami.  Predicted winner:  Duke

9:30 p.m. (ESPN/ESPN2) (3) North Carolina vs. (7) Virginia Tech.  Predicted winner:  North Carolina

3/12 – Finals

8:30 p.m. (ESPN) (1) Duke vs. (3) North Carolina.  Predicted winner:  Duke

America East (March 6, 9, 12; campus of higher seed for semis and final)

3/12 – Finals

11 .m. (ESPN2) (2) UMBC at (1) Vermont.  Predicted winner:  Vermont

Atlantic 10 (March 9-13; Washington, DC)

3/11 – Quarterfinals

Noon (USA, Peacock) (1) Davidson vs. (8) Fordham.  Predicted winner:  Davidson

2:30 p.m. (USA, Peacock) (4) St. Bonaventure vs. (5) St. Louis.  Predicted winner:  St. Bonaventure

6 p.m. (USA, Peacock) (2) Dayton vs. (10) UMass.  Predicted winner:  Dayton

8:30 p.m. (USA, Peacock) (3) VCU vs. (6) Richmond.  Predicted winner:  VCU

3/12 – Semifinals

1 p.m. (CBSSN) (1) Davidson vs. (4) St. Bonaventure.  Predicted winner:  Davidson

3:30 p.m. (CBSSN) (2) Dayton vs. (3) VCU.  Predicted winner:  Dayton

3/13 – Finals

1 p.m. (CBS) (1) Davidson vs. (2) Dayton.  Predicted winner:  Davidson

Big 12 (March 9-12; Kansas City)

3/11 – Semifinals

7 p.m. (ESPN/ESPN2) (1) Kansas vs. (5) TCU.  Predicted winner:  Kansas

9 p.m. (ESPN/ESPN2) (3) Texas Tech vs. (7) Oklahoma.  Predicted winner:  Texas Tech

3/12 – Finals

6 p.m. (ESPN) (1) Kansas vs. (3) Texas Tech.  Predicted winner:  Texas Tech

Big East (March 9-12; New York)

3/11 – Semifinals

6:30 p.m. (FS1) (1) Providence vs. (4) Creighton.  Predicted winner:  Providence

9 p.m. (FS1) (2) Villanova vs. (3) UConn.  Predicted winner:  Villanova

3/12 – Finals

6:30 p.m. (Fox) (1) Providence vs. (2) Villanova.  Predicted winner:  Providence

Big Sky (March 9-12; Boise)

3/11 – Semifinals

7:30 p.m. (ESPN+) (1) Montana State vs. (4) Weber State.  Predicted winner:  Montana State

10 p.m. (ESPN+) (3) Northern Colorado vs. (7) Portland State.  Predicted winner:  Northern Colorado

3/12 – Finals

8 p.m. (ESPNU) (1) Montana State vs. (3) Northern Colorado.  Predicted winner:  Montana State

Big Ten (March 9-13; Indianapolis)

3/11 – Quarterfinals

11:30 a.m. (BTN) (1) Illinois vs. (9) Indiana.  Predicted winner:  Illinois

2 p.m. (BTN) (4) Rutgers vs. (5) Iowa.  Predicted winner:  Iowa

6:30 p.m. (BTN) (2) Wisconsin vs. (7) Michigan State.  Predicted winner:  Michigan State

9 p.m. (BTN) (3) Purdue vs. (11) Penn State.  Predicted winner:  Purdue

3/12 – Semifinals

1 p.m. (CBS) (1) Illinois vs. (5) Iowa.  Predicted winner:  Iowa

3:30 p.m. (CBS) (3) Purdue vs. (7) Michigan State.  Predicted winner:  Michigan State

3/13 – Finals

3:30 p.m. (CBS) (5) Iowa vs. (7) Michigan State.  Predicted winner:  Michigan State

Big West (March 8, 10-12; Henderson, NV)

3/11 – Semifinals

9 p.m. (ESPN+) (1) Long Beach State vs. (5) UC Santa Barbara.  Predicted winner:  Long Beach State

11:59 p.m. (ESPNU) (2) Cal State Fullerton vs. (3) Hawaii.  Predicted winner:  Cal State Fullerton

3/12 – Finals

11:30 p.m. (ESPN) (1) Long Beach State vs. (2) Cal State Fullerton.  Predicted winner:  Cal State Fullerton

Conference USA (March 8-12; Frisco, TX)

3/11 – Semifinals

12:30 p.m. (CBSSN) (E1) Middle Tennessee State vs. (W2) UAB.  Predicted winner:  UAB

2 p.m. (CBSSN) (W1) North Texas vs. (W3) Louisiana Tech.  Predicted winner:  North Texas

3/12 – Finals

8:30 p.m. (CBSSN)  (W1) North Texas v. (W2) UAB.  Predicted winner:  North Texas

Ivy League (March 12-13; Boston)

3/12 - Semifinals

11 a.m. (ESPNU) (1) Princeton vs. (4) Cornell.  Predicted winner:  Princeton

2 p.m. (ESPNU) (2) Yale vs. (3) Penn.  Predicted winner:  Yale

3/13 - Finals

Noon (ESPN2) (1) Princeton vs. (2) Yale.  Predicted winner:  Princeton

MAAC (March 8-12; Atlantic City, NJ)

3/11 – Semifinals

6 p.m. (ESPNews) (4) Monmouth vs. (9) Rider.  Predicted winner:  Monmouth

8:30 p.m. (ESPNews) (2) St. Peter's vs. (11) Quinnipiac.  Predicted winner:  St. Peter's

3/12 – Finals

4 p.m. (ESPNU) (2) St. Peter's vs. (4) Monmouth.  Predicted winner:  St. Peter's

MAC (March 10-12; Cleveland)

3/11 – Semifinals

5 p.m. (CBSSN) (1) Toledo vs. (4) Akron.  Predicted winner:  Toledo

7:30 p.m. (CBSSN) (2) Kent State vs. (3) Ohio.  Predicted winner:  Ohio

3/12 – Finals

7:30 p.m. (ESPN2) (1) Toledo vs. (3) Ohio.  Predicted winner:  Ohio

MEAC (March 9-12; Norfolk, VA)

3/11 – Semifinals

6 p.m. (ESPN+) (1) Norfolk State vs. (4) Morgan State.  Predicted winner:  Norfolk State

8 p.m. (ESPN+) (3) North Carolina Central vs. (7) Coppin State.  Predicted winner:  North Carolina Central

3/12 – Final

1:00 p.m. (ESPN2) (1) Norfolk State vs. (3) North Carolina Central.  Predicted winner:  Norfolk State

Mountain West (March 9-12; Las Vegas)

3/11 – Semifinals

9:30 p.m. (CBSSN) (1) Boise State vs. (4) Wyoming.  Predicted winner:  Wyoming

11:59 p.m. (CBSSN) (2) Colorado State vs. (3) San Diego State.  Predicted winner:  San Diego State

3/12 – Finals

6 p.m. (CBS) (3) San Diego State vs. (4) Wyoming.  Predicted winner:  Wyoming

Pac-12 (March 9-12; Paradise, NV)

3/11 – Semifinals

9 p.m. (Pac-12 Network) (1) Arizona vs. (4) Colorado.  Predicted winner:  Arizona

11:30 p.m. (FS1) (2) UCLA vs. (3) USC.  Predicted winner:

3/12 – Finals

9 p.m. (Fox) (1) Arizona vs. (2) UCLA.  Predicted winner:  UCLA

SEC (March 9-13; Tampa)

3/11 – Quarterfinals

12 p.m. (ESPN) (1) Auburn vs. (8) Texas A&M.  Predicted winner:  Auburn

2 p.m. (ESPN) (4) Arkansas vs. (5) LSU.  Predicted winner:  Arkansas

6 p.m. (SEC Network) (2) Tennessee vs. (10) Mississippi State.  Predicted winner:  Tennessee

8 p.m. (SEC Network) (3) Kentucky vs. (11) Vanderbilt.  Predicted winner:  Kentucky

3/12 – Semifinals

1 p.m. (ESPN) (1) Auburn vs. (4) Arkansas.  Predicted winner:  Auburn

3 p.m. (ESPN) (2) Tennessee vs. (3) Kentucky.  Predicted winner:  Kentucky

3/13 – Finals

1 p.m. (ESPN) (1) Auburn vs. (3) Kentucky.  Predicted winner:  Auburn

Southland (March 9-12; Katy, TX)

3/11 – Semifinals

6 p.m. (ESPN+) (1) Nicholls vs. (4) Texas A&M CC.  Predicted winner:  Nicholls

8:30 p.m. (ESPN+) (2) Southeastern Louisiana vs. (3) New Orleans.  Predicted winner:  New Orleans

3/12 – Finals

9:30 p.m. (ESPN2) (1) Nicholls vs. (3) New Orleans.  Predicted winner:  Nicholls

SWAC (March 9-12; Birmingham, AL)

3/11 – Semifinals

3 p.m. (ESPN+) (1) Alcorn State vs. (5) Alabama A&M.  Predicted winner:  Alcorn State

9:30 p.m. (ESPN+) (2) Texas Southern vs. (6) Grambling.  Predicted winner:  Texas Southern

3/12 – Finals

6 p.m. (ESPNU) (1) Alcorn State vs. (2) Texas Southern.  Predicted winner:  Texas Southern

WAC (March 8-12; Paradise, NV)

3/11 – Semifinals

9 p.m. (ESPN+) (1) New Mexico State vs. (4) Grand Canyon.  Predicted winner:  New Mexico State

11:30 p.m. (ESPN+) (2) Seattle vs. (6) Abilene Christian.  Predicted winner:  Seattle

3/12 – Finals

10 p.m. (ESPNU) (1) New Mexico State vs. (2) Seattle.  Predicted winner:  New Mexico State