Updated Championship Week Predictions: Bubble Pop

Today's Championship Week theme song is K-Pop star Hyuna's 2011 hit "Bubble Pop" because yesterday, we had some muthafuckin' bubbles pop!  And it was an exciting day for college basketball all around, with 23 games decided by 5 points or fewer and/or going to overtime.

Today, there are 40 games over more than 14 hours, starting with the tip off of the Michigan/Maryland game in the Big Ten quarterfinals at 11:30 a.m. Eastern and ending with two games that tip off at 11:59 p.m. Eastern, the UC Irvine/UC Riverside game in the Big West semis and the Utah State/Colorado State in the Mountain West semis.  Please note that, for the bubble teams below, my definition of "the bubble" is any team that's listed in ESPN's Bubble Watch that isn't a "lock."  Of course, there are other teams that may play themselves onto the bubble as the week progresses.

Here's what happened in yesterday's action and what we have to look forward to today:

• In the ACC quarterfinals, we had our first bubble pop before the games even started, as 10-seed Duke announced that it had to forfeit its game against 2-seed Florida State because of COVID.  This nearly certainly means the Blue Devils will miss the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 1995.  Elsewhere, 1-seed Virginia beat 8-seed Syracuse in a 72-69 thriller with a three at the buzzer, 6-seed North Carolina beat 3-seed Virginia Tech, 81-73, and 4-seed Georgia Tech withstood 13-seed Miami, 70-66.
• In the Big 12 quarterfinals, top seed Baylor got more than it bargained for against Kansas State, but pulled out a 74-68 win, 2-seed Kansas beat 7-seed Oklahoma, 69-62, 3-seed Texas got two free throws with 1.8 seconds left to beat 6-seed Texas Tech, 67-66, and 5-seed Oklahoma State beat 4-seed West Virginia, 72-69.
• In the Big East quarterfinals, 1-seed Villanova was upset by 8-seed Georgetown, 72-71, 2-seed Creighton annihilated 10-seed Butler, 87-56, 3-seed UConn destroyed 11-seed DePaul, 94-60, and 5-seed Seton Hall kept its NCAA Tournament hopes alive with a 77-69 OT win over 4-seed St. John's.
• In the Big Sky quarterfinals, top seed Southern Utah downed 8-seed Northern Colorado, 91-83, 2-seed Eastern Washington beat 10-seed Northern Arizona, 66-60, 3-seed Weber State was upset by 6-seed Montana, 80-75, and 5-seed Montana State beat 4-seed Idaho State.
• In the Big West quarterfinals, 1-seed UC Santa Barbara beat 8-seed Long Beach State, 95-87, 2-seed UC Irvine bounced 10-seed Cal Poly, 58-51, 3-seed UC Riverside beat 6-seed Hawaii, 62-52, and 4-seed UC Davis squeaked by 5-seed Cal State Bakersfield, 58-56.
• In the Conference USA quarterfinals, East 1-seed Western Kentucky beat West 4-seed UTSA, 73-60, West 1-seed Louisiana Tech topped East 4-seed FAU, 75-69, West 3-seed North Texas beat East 2-seed Old Dominion, 61-55, and West 2-seed UAB downed West 6-seed Rice, 73-60.
• In the second half of the MAAC quarterfinals, 3-seed St. Peter's (the highest remaining seed) topped 11-seed Rider, 75-60, and 5-seed Niagara beat 4-seed Marist, 67-62.  Somewhere Rik Smits is crying, presumably while dunking, and Calvin Murphy is smiling, presumably while making free throws and twirling a baton.
• In the MAC quarterfinals, 1-seed Toledo escaped with a 91-89 OT win over 8-seed Ball State, 2-seed Buffalo beat 7-seed Miami (OH), 74-63, 3-seed Akron downed 6-seed Bowling Green, 74-67, and 5-seed Ohio crushed 4-seed Kent State, 85-63.
• In the MEAC quarterfinals, North 3-seed Morgan State topped South 2-seed Florida A&M, 77-75, and North 2-seed Norfolk State thumped South 3-seed North Carolina Central, 87-58.
• In the Mountain West quarterfinals, 1-seed San Diego State barely survived 8-seed Wyoming, 69-66, 2-seed Utah State made easy work of 7-seed UNLV, 74-53, 3-seed Colorado State beat 6-seed Fresno State, 72-62, and 5-seed Nevada beat 4-seed Boise State, 89-82, likely crushing the Broncos' hopes of an NCAA Tournament bid.
• In the Pac-12 quarterfinals, top-seed Oregon cruised to a 91-73 win over 8-seed Arizona State, 2-seed USC needed two overtimes to finish off 7-seed Utah, 91-85, 3-seed Colorado survived 11-seed Cal, 61-58, and 5-seed Oregon State beat 4-seed UCLA in OT, 83-79.
• In the Third Round of the Southland, which is effectively their quarterfinals, 3-seed Sam Houston State fell to 6-seed Lamar, 70-69, and 4-seed Northwestern State outlasted 5-seed New Orleans, 82-79.
• In the second half of the SWAC quarterfinals, 3-seed Texas Southern cruised past 6-seed Alcorn State, 78-55, and 4-seed Grambling State beat rival 5-seed Southern in OT, 72-67.
• In the WAC quarterfinals, 3-seed new Mexico State beat 6-seed UTRGV, 77-61, and 4-seed Seattle beat up on 5-seed California Baptist, 83-66.  Somewhere Elgin Baylor is smiling.
• In the Second Round of the Big Ten, 5-seed Ohio State eked out a 79-75 win over 13-seed Minnesota, 6-seed Wisconsin won a nail biter over 11-seed Penn State, 75-74, and 7-seed Rutgers beat my hapless 10-seed Indiana Hoosiers, 61-50, in what will hopefully be the last game of the Archie Miller era at IU, and in a battle of bubble teams, 8-seed Maryland beat 9-seed Michigan State, 68-57.
• In the Second Round of the SEC, 5-seed Florida held off 12-seed Vanderbilt, 69-63, 6-seed Ole Miss took care of 11-seed South Carolina, 76-59, 7-seed Missouri snuck by 10-seed Georgia, 73-70, and 9-seed Mississippi State beat 8-seed Kentucky, 74-73, ending the Wildcats' season with a 9-16 record, which is Kentucky's first losing season since 1988-1989 and worst winning percentage in a season since the 1926-1927 season when the Wildcats finished 3-13 under the tutelage of one-year head coach Basil Hayden, who oddly enough, is not the namesake of Basil Hayden's bourbon.
• In the First Round of the AAC, 6-seed UCF beat11-seed East Carolina, 72-62, 10-seed Tulane upended 7-seed Tulsa, 77-70, and 8-seed South Florida slipped past 9-seed Temple, 73-71.
• There are no championship games until tomorrow, but 17 tournaments have games today, and it's all semis and quarters, with 14 semifinals and 3 quarterfinals.  Here's how it breaks down:
• Semifinals:  ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big Sky, Big West, Conference USA, MAAC, MAC, MEAC, Mountain West, Pac-12, Southland, SWAC, WAC
• Quarterfinals:  AAC, Big Ten, SEC
• Here are the teams still playing in the conference tournaments that have already started or will start today that have never been to the NCAA Tournament:
• America East:  4-seed Hartford, 6-seed UMass Lowell
• SWAC:  4-seed Grambling State
• WAC:  1-seed Grand Canyon, 2-seed Utah Valley
• Bubble teams that won yesterday:  Colorado State, Connecticut, Georgia Tech, Maryland, Mississippi, North Carolina, Rutgers, Seton Hall, Utah State
• Bubble teams that lost yesterday:  Boise State, Duke, Michigan State, St. John's, Syracuse, UCLA, Virginia Tech
• Bubble teams that haven't already lost, but were idle yesterday:  Memphis, SMU, St. Bonaventure, VCU, Wichita State

With that, here are the tournaments starting today, the tournaments with games today, bids up for grab today, who has already clinched an automatic berth, and my predictions for the remaining conference tournaments.

Tournaments starting today

-None

Tournaments with games today

-AAC

-ACC

-Big 12

-Big East

-Big Sky

-Big Ten

-Big West

-Conference USA

-MAAC

-MAC

-MEAC

-Mountain West

-Pac-12

-SEC

-Southland

-SWAC

-WAC

Bids up for grabs today (all times Eastern)

-None

Already clinched automatic berths (I will add in parentheses the NCAA tournament appearances for each school, including the bid just clinched, and for conferences whose tournaments have not yet ended, I'll list the date of the championship game)

-AAC (March 14)

-ACC (March 13)

-America East (March 13)

-Atlantic 10 (March 14)

-Atlantic Sun:  Liberty (5)

-Big 12 (March 13)

-Big East (March 13)

-Big Sky (March 13)

-Big South:  Winthrop (11)

-Big Ten (March 14)

-Big West (March 13)

-Colonial:  Drexel (5)

-Conference USA (March 13)

-Horizon:  Cleveland State (3)

-MAAC (March 13)

-MAC (March 13)

-MEAC (March 13)

-Missouri Valley:  Loyola (IL) (7)

-Mountain West (March 13)

-Northeast Conference:  Mount St. Mary's (6)

-Ohio Valley:  Morehead State (8)

-Pac-12 (March 13)

-Patriot League (March 14)

-SEC (March 14)

-Southern Conference:  UNC Greensboro (4)

-Southland (March 13)

-Summit:  Oral Roberts (6)

-Sun Belt:  Appalachian State (3)

-SWAC (March 13)

-WAC (March 13)

-West Coast:  Gonzaga (22)

Because I am unhealthily obsessed with college basketball in March -- to the detriment of my marriage, children, friendships, work, sleep schedule, sanity, wallet, archery practice, and loyalty to Zeus -- I have not only listed out every game and my predictions, but the date, time, and TV station(s) on which the game will appear, even if it's just local, regional, or online, to the extent that information is available.  Some conference tournament websites are better than others.  I want this to be as comprehensive as possible, so that you can always come here to figure out when any given team is playing.  I love you so much, you guys.  Don't you ever forget it.

Remaining Tournaments (all times are Eastern)

AAC (March 11-14; Fort Worth)

3/12 – Quarterfinals

1 p.m. (ESPN2) (1) Wichita State vs. (8) South Florida.  Predicted winner:  Wichita State

3 p.m. (ESPN2) (4) SMU vs. (5) Cincinnati.  Predicted winner:  SMU

7 p.m. (ESPNU) (2) Houston vs. (10) Tulane.  Predicted winner:  Houston

10 p.m. (ESPNU) (3) Memphis vs. (6) UCF.  Predicted winner:  Memphis

3/13 – Semifinals

3 p.m. (ESPN2) (1) Wichita State vs. (4) SMU.  Predicted winner:  Wichita State

5:30 p.m. (ESPN2) (2) Houston vs. (3) Memphis.  Predicted winner:  Houston

3/14 – Finals

3:15 p.m. (ESPN) (1) Wichita State vs. (2) Houston.  Predicted winner:  Houston

ACC (March 9-13; Greensboro)

3/12 – Semifinals

6:30 p.m. (ESPN/ESPN2) (1) Virginia vs. (4) Georgia Tech.  Predicted winner:  Virginia

9 p.m. (ESPN/ESPN2) (2) Florida State vs. (6) North Carolina.  Predicted winner:  Florida State

3/13 – Finals

8:30 p.m. (ESPN) (1) Virginia vs. (2) Florida State.  Predicted winner:  Florida State

America East (February 27-28, March 6, 13; New Hampshire, Hartford for pod play and quarterfinals, campus of higher seed for semis and final)

3/13 – Finals

11 a.m. (ESPN2) (6) UMass Lowell at (4) Hartford.  Predicted winner:  Hartford

Atlantic 10 (March 3-6, 14; Richmond)

3/14 – Finals

1 p.m. (CBS) (1) St. Bonaventure vs. (2) VCU.  Predicted winner:  St. Bonaventure

Big 12 (March 10-13; Kansas City)

3/12 – Semifinals

7 p.m. (ESPN/ESPN2) (1) Baylor vs. (5) Oklahoma State.  Predicted winner:  Baylor

9 p.m. (ESPN/ESPN2) (2) Kansas vs. (3) Texas.  Predicted winner:  Texas

3/13 – Finals

6 p.m. (ESPN) (1) Baylor vs. (3) Texas.  Predicted winner:  Baylor

Big East (March 10-13; New York)

3/12 – Semifinals

6 p.m. (FS1) (8) Georgetown vs. (5) Seton Hall.  Predicted winner:  Seton Hall

9 p.m. (FS1) (2) Creighton vs. (3) UConn.  Predicted winner:  Creighton

3/13 – Finals

6:30 p.m. (Fox) (2) Creighton vs. (5) Seton Hall.  Predicted winner:  Creighton

Big Sky (March 10-13; Boise)

3/12 – Semifinals

7 p.m. (Eleven Sports) (1) Southern Utah vs. (5) Montana State.  Predicted winner:  Southern Utah

10 p.m. (Eleven Sports) (2) Eastern Washington vs. (6) Montana.  Predicted winner:  Eastern Washington

3/13 – Finals

9 p.m. (ESPNU) (1) Southern Utah vs. (2) Eastern Washington.  Predicted winner:  Eastern Washington

Big Ten (March 10-14; Indianapolis)

3/12 – Quarterfinals

11:30 a.m. (BTN) (1) Michigan vs. (8) Maryland.  Predicted winner:  Michigan

2 p.m. (BTN) (4) Purdue vs. (5) Ohio State.  Predicted winner:  Ohio State

6:30 p.m. (BTN) (2) Illinois vs. (7) Rutgers.  Predicted winner:  Illinois

9 p.m. (BTN) (3) Iowa vs. (6) Wisconsin.  Predicted winner:  Iowa

3/13 – Semifinals

1 p.m. (CBS) (1) Michigan vs. (5) Ohio State.  Predicted winner:  Michigan

3:30 p.m. (CBS) (3) Iowa vs. (2) Illinois.  Predicted winner:  Iowa

3/14 – Finals

3:30 p.m. (CBS) (1) Michigan vs. (3) Iowa.  Predicted winner:  Michigan

Big West (March 9, 11-13; Las Vegas)

3/12 – Semifinals

9:30 p.m. (ESPN+) (1) UC Santa Barbara vs. (4) UC Davis.  Predicted winner:  UC Santa Barbara

11:59 p.m. (ESPN+) (2) UC Irvine vs. (3) UC Riverside.  Predicted winner:  UC Irvine

3/13 – Finals

11:30 p.m. (ESPN) (1) UC Santa Barbara vs. (2) UC Irvine.  Predicted winner:  UC Santa Barbara

Conference USA (March 9-13; Frisco, TX)

3/12 – Semifinals

12 p.m. (CBSSN) (E1) Western Kentucky vs. (W2) UAB.  Predicted winner:  Western Kentucky

3 p.m. (CBSSN) (W1) Louisiana Tech vs. (W3) North Texas.  Predicted winner:  Louisiana Tech

3/13 – Finals

9 p.m. (CBSSN) (E1) Western Kentucky vs. (W1) Louisiana Tech.  Predicted winner:  Western Kentucky

MAAC (March 8-13; Atlantic City, NJ)

3/12 – Semifinals

6 p.m. (ESPNews) (9) Iona vs. (5) Niagara.  Predicted winner:  Iona

8:30 p.m. (ESPNews) (7) Fairfield vs. (3) St. Peter's.  Predicted winner:  St. Peter's

3/13 – Finals

4 p.m. (ESPNU) (9) Iona vs. (3) St. Peter's.  Predicted winner:  St. Peter's

MAC (March 11-13; Cleveland)

3/12 – Semifinals

5 p.m. (CBSSN) (1) Toledo vs. (5) Ohio.  Predicted winner:  Toledo

7:30 p.m. (CBSSN) (2) Buffalo vs. (3) Akron.  Predicted winner:  Akron

3/13 – Finals

7:30 p.m. (ESPN2) (1) Toledo vs. (3) Akron.  Predicted winner:  Toledo

MEAC (March 11-13; first round at home of better seed, remainder in Norfolk, VA)

3/12 – Semifinals

6 p.m. (FloHoops) (N1) Coppin State vs. (N3) Morgan State.  Predicted winner:  Coppin State

8 p.m. (FloHoops) (S1) North Carolina A&T vs. (N2) Norfolk State.  Predicted winner:  North Carolina A&T

3/13 – Final

1:00 p.m. (ESPN2) (N1) Coppin State vs. (S1) North Carolina S&T.  Predicted winner:  North Carolina A&T

Mountain West (March 10-13; Las Vegas)

3/12 – Semifinals

9:30 p.m. (CBSSN) (1) San Diego State vs. (5) Nevada.  Predicted winner:  San Diego State

11:59 p.m. (CBSSN) (2) Utah State vs. (3) Colorado State.  Predicted winner:  Utah State

3/13 – Finals

6 p.m. (CBS) (1) San Diego State vs. (2) Utah State.  Predicted winner:  San Diego State

Pac-12 (March 10-13; Las Vegas)

3/12 – Semifinals

8:30 p.m. (Pac-12 Network) (1) Oregon vs. (5) Oregon State.  Predicted winner:  Oregon

11:30 p.m. (ESPN) (3) Colorado vs. (2) USC.  Predicted winner:  USC

3/13 – Finals

10:30 p.m. (ESPN) (1) Oregon vs. (2) USC.  Predicted winner:  Oregon

Patriot League (March 3, 6, 10, 14; campus of higher seed)

3/14 – Finals

12 p.m. (CBSSN) (9) Loyola (MD) at (2) Colgate.  Predicted winner:  Colgate

SEC (March 10-14; Nashville)

3/12 – Quarterfinals

12 p.m. (ESPN) (1) Alabama vs. (8) Kentucky.  Predicted winner:  Alabama

2:30 p.m. (ESPN) (4) Tennessee vs. (5) Florida.  Predicted winner:  Tennessee

7 p.m. (SEC Network) (2) Arkansas vs. (7) Missouri.  Predicted winner:  Arkansas

9:30 p.m. (SEC Network) (3) LSU vs. (6) Mississippi.  Predicted winner:  LSU

3/13 – Semifinals

1 p.m. (ESPN) (1) Alabama vs. (4) Tennessee.  Predicted winner:  Alabama

3:30 p.m. (ESPN) (2) Arkansas vs. (3) LSU.  Predicted winner:  LSU

3/14 – Finals

1 p.m. (ESPN) (1) Alabama vs. (3) LSU.  Predicted winner:  Alabama

Southland (March 9-13; Katy, TX)

3/12 – Semifinals

6 p.m. (ESPN+) (1) Nicholls State vs. (4) Northwestern State.  Predicted winner:  Nicholls State

9 p.m. (ESPN+) (2) Abilene Christian vs. (6) Lamar.  Predicted winner:  Abilene Christian

3/13 – Finals

9:30 p.m. (ESPN2) (1) Nicholls State vs. (2) Abilene Christian.  Predicted winner:  Nicholls State

SWAC (March 10-13; Birmingham, AL)

3/12 – Semifinals

3 p.m. (ESPN+) (2) Jackson State vs. (3) Texas Southern.  Predicted winner:  Texas Southern

9:30 p.m. (ESPN+) (1) Prairie View A&M vs. (4) Grambling State.  Predicted winner:  Prairie View A&M

3/13 – Finals

6 p.m. (ESPNU) (1) Prairie View A&M vs. (3) Texas Southern.  Predicted winner:  Prairie View A&M

WAC (March 11-13; Las Vegas)

3/12 – Semifinals

3 p.m. (ESPN+) (1) Grand Canyon vs. (4) Seattle.  Predicted winner:  Grand Canyon

5 p.m. (ESPN+) (2) Utah Valley vs. (3) New Mexico State.  Predicted winner:  Utah Valley

3/13 – Finals

5 p.m. (ESPNU) (1) Grand Canyon vs. (2) Utah Valley.  Predicted winner:  Grand Canyon