Wednesday, November 29, 2017

Undefeated After Week 13

It was another action-packed and upset-heavy weekend of college football, as #1 Alabama fell in the Iron Bowl to #6 Auburn, 26-14, while #2 Miami lost at unranked Pitt in a 24-14 shocker.  That leaves only two undefeated FBS teams:  #4 Wisconsin (who finally makes an appearance in the CFP Top 4) and #14 Central Florida.

In last night's release of the College Football Playoff rankings, there were some major changes, as expected.  Alabama and Miami fell out of the Top 4, to #5 and #7, respectively.  Clemson moves up to #1, Auburn leaped everyone else to get to #2, Oklahoma moved up a spot to #3, and, as mentioned above, undefeated Wisconsin moved up from #5 to #4.  

The crazy thing is that all four of these teams could lose this weekend because they are all playing teams in the Top 11 of the CFP rankings that conceivably all still have a shot at getting into the Playoff with a win.  Clemson plays #7 Miami in the ACC Championship Game in Charlotte, which is a hell of a lot closer to Clemson than Coral Gables, but those Hurricanes are going to be pissed after last weekend.  Auburn plays #6 Georgia in the SEC Championship Game in Atlanta.  Oklahoma plays #11 TCU in the Big XII Championship game in Arlington -- about 18 miles from TCU's campus, and about 175 miles closer to TCU's campus than OU's.  Finally, Wisconsin plays #8 Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship Game in Indianapolis.  Needless to say, it should be a hell of an exciting championship weekend.  Whatever happens, I just hope Alabama doesn't sneak in the back door again without winning the SEC West, like in 2011 when the Crimson Tide went to the BCS championship game despite finishing 2nd in the SEC West.

Here are the top 4 teams in the CFP ranking, along with each team's best win and worst loss, where applicable:
1.  Clemson (11-1)
Best win:  #2 Auburn (9/9; 14-6)
Worst loss:  at Syracuse (10/13; 27-24)
2.  Auburn (10-2)
Best win:  #5 Alabama (11/25; 26-14)
Worst loss:  at #17 LSU (10/16; 27-23)
3.  Oklahoma (11-1)
Best win:  at #8 Ohio State (9/9; 31-16)
Worst loss:  Iowa State (10/7; 38-31)
4.  Wisconsin (12-0)
Best win:  #21 Northwestern (9/30; 33-24)
Worst loss:  N/A

Here is a breakdown of the remaining undefeated teams and each team's remaining games (rankings are CFB Playoff Committee rankings):

#4 Wisconsin 12-0
12/2 – Big Ten championship game (Indianapolis) vs. #6 Ohio State (10-2)
Best win:  #23 Northwestern (9/30; 33-24)

#14 Central Florida 11-0
12/2 – AAC championship game (at UCF) vs. #20 Memphis (10-1)
Best win:  #20 Memphis (9/30; 40-13)

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