This
weekend proved why the first weekend of March Madness is the best sports
weekend of the year. There were buzzer
beaters, huge upsets, come-from-behind victories, and several sick
alley-oops. Let's cut to the chase. Here are the Sweet 16 teams, along with the
last time they made the Sweet 16 (and their region, seeds, game time, and what
station is televising the game):
East
Region (Washington, DC)
(2)
Miami (2000) vs. (3) Marquette (2012) - Thursday 3/28 7:15 ET CBS
(1)
Indiana (2012) vs. (4) Syracuse (2012) - Thursday 3/28 9:45 ET CBS
West
Region (Los Angeles)
(2)
Ohio State (2012) vs. (6) Arizona (2011) - Thursday 3/28 7:47 ET TBS
(9)
Wichita State (2006) vs. (13) LaSalle (1955) - Thursday 3/28 10:17 ET TBS
Midwest
Region (Indianapolis)
(1)
Louisville (2012) vs. (12) Oregon (2007) - Friday 3/29 7:15 ET CBS
(2)
Duke (2011) vs. (3) Michigan State (2012) - Friday 3/29 9:45 ET CBS
South
Region (North Texas)
(1)
Kansas (2012) vs. (4) Michigan (1994) - Friday 3/29 7:37 ET TBS
(3)
Florida (2012) vs. (15) Florida Gulf Coast (never) - Friday 3/29 10:07 ET TBS
If
you're like me -- and you better pray to Xenu that you're not –- you not
only love the NCAA Tournament, but you are fascinated with the history and
statistical minutiae associated with the tournament. Like I've done the last couple years, I'm
going to destroy your mind (and quite possibly your bowels) with some statistical knowledge. Here are ten fun facts
about this year's NCAA tournament.
10. Florida Gulf Coast became the first 15-seed
to ever advance to the Sweet 16. Since
this is the school's first trip to the Big Dance, FGCU is also the only school
in NCAA Tournament history that has never lost a tournament game. When it meets Florida Friday night, it will
be the first time two schools from Florida have played each other in the NCAA
Tournament.
9. Only three of the Sweet 16 teams have never
won an NCAA title (Miami, Wichita State, and Florida Gulf Coast), and every
Sweet 16 matchup features at least one former champion.
8. The Big Ten has four teams in the Sweet 16
for the second year in a row, and the State of Florida has three teams in the
Sweet 16 for the first time ever.
7. This is the first time since 1955 that
LaSalle has made it to the Sweet 16, and the first time since they won it all
in 1954 that the Explorers have won two or more games in the NCAA Tournament.
6. Gonzaga proved that it is, in fact, the best team
in the West Coast Conference by making it one round further than St.
Mary's. It is the third time in the last
four years that a 1-seed lost in the Round of 32.
5. If Iowa State would have beaten Ohio State
Sunday, the highest remaining seed in the West Region would have been 6-seed
Arizona, and it would have been the first time since seeding began in 1979
where none of the top four seeds in a region advanced to the Sweet 16.
4. The average seed number for Sweet 16 teams
this year is 5.0625, which is the highest average seed number since 2000, and
only the fifth time since the tournament was expanded to 64 teams in 1985 that
the average seed number is higher than 5.
This is pretty high if you consider that, if the seeding played out as
it should (i.e., all teams seeded 1-4 advancing to the Sweet 16, which has
never happened), the average seed number would be 2.5. Here is the average seed
of Sweet 16 teams since 1985:
2013:
5.0625
2012:
4.5625
2011:
5
2010:
5
2009:
3.0625
2008:
4.375
2007:
3.1875
2006:
4.4375
2005:
4.5
2004:
4.5625
2003:
4.1875
2002:
4.6875
2001:
4.5625
2000:
5.3125
1999:
5.5
1998:
4.75
1997:
4.8125
1996:
3.6875
1995:
3.1875
1994:
4.25
1993:
4.0625
1992:
4.1875
1991:
4
1990:
5.5
1989:
3.125
1988:
4.3125
1987:
4.25
1986:
5.5625
1985:
4.875
3. There are 3 mid-majors in the Sweet 16. (I
consider non-BCS conferences to be mid-majors, even if a school is now in a BCS
conference, so, for instance, Cincinnati, DePaul, Louisville, and Marquette
were mid-majors before joining the Big East in 2005. It's not a perfect
science. Deal with it.) Here is a year-by-year breakdown of the number of
mid-major teams that made it to the Sweet 16 since 1985:
2. This year, there are four teams seeded 8 or
lower that advanced to the Sweet 16: #9 Wichita State, #12 Oregon, #13 LaSalle,
and #15 Florida Gulf Coast. For the fourth
year in a row (and the fifth year in the last six), there are at least three
double-digit seeds in the Sweet 16. It
is the first time that three teams seeded 12 or higher have made it to the
Sweet 16. Here is a year-by-year
breakdown of the number of teams seeded #8 or lower that made it to the Sweet
16 since 1985:
1. I nearly had a heart attack Sunday while
watching the IU/Temple game. The
Hoosiers played like ass for most of the game, and it felt like we were playing
Wisconsin again (which hasn't boded well for us as of late). With about three minutes left in the game, my
couch could no longer contain me. As
Lollipop sat quietly on the couch watching Winnie the Pooh on the iPad, her
father stood and watched the game, pacing like an idiot savant as his team went
on a 10-0 run over the last 2:57 of the game, turning a 4-point deficit into a
6-point victory. I could have used some
quaaludes to bring my heart rate back down to normal after that one. Even though IU didn't play as well as it
could have, a win is a win, and that may just be the kickstart the Hoosiers
need to rocket themselves to Atlanta.
Sorry
for my lack of posting the last few days.
I have been hellishly busy at work and filling out what has now amounted
to 569 brackets. This is my favorite
time of the year, sports-wise. I get
giddy just thinking about the NCAA Tournament.
Thus, the goal of this Tuesday Top Ten is to help you as you fill out
your brackets. Make sure you have
everything done by Noon Eastern tomorrow, when the first games start.
Before
I get started, let's just take a quick second to laugh at Kentucky. They bitched and moaned when they didn't make
the NCAA Tournament (becoming only the fifth NCAA champion since the tournament
was expanded to 64 teams in 1985 that didn't make the NCAA Tournament the
following year), and then they went ahead and lost in the first round of the
NIT to Robert Morris, becoming the first team since the tournament was expanded
to 64 teams in 1985 to win the NCAA championship one year and then lose in the
first round of the NIT the next year.
Well, at least they're probably getting paid well.
But
I digress. This year's NCAA Tournament
is as wide open as I can remember. I
think there are probably 10-12 teams that have legitimate shots of going all
the way. Here are a couple lists of five
(since ten seemed like overkill) teams each in a few categories that you should
consider when filling out your brackets.
Some of these are somewhat contradictory, but such is the tournament. The teams are in alphabetical order.
Teams
with the best shot at winning it all:
1. Florida.
For most of the season, Florida was projected as a 1-seed. They were probably penalized by a couple
late-season losses in a weak SEC, but they can shoot and defend very well.
2. Indiana.
The Hoosiers have the talent and the big-game experience to cut down the
nets in Atlanta.
3. Louisville.
Obviously, this is the hot pick after the Cards won the Big East tourney
and grabbed the #1 overall seed.
4. Miami.
It's a senior-laden team with great guards, coached by a guy with Final
Four experience.
5. Ohio State.
I think they have the easiest road to the Final Four of anyone.
Final
Four sleepers (teams seeded 4 or higher):
1. Butler.
As we learned in 2010 and 2011, Brad Stevens has some March mojo.
2. Michigan.
The Wolverines are probably underseeded at a 4-seed, and they definitely
have the talent to beat anyone in their region.
3. St. Louis.
They have great guards, which is always key in March. If they meet Louisville in the Sweet 16, it
could be a hell of a game.
4. Syracuse.
Jim Boeheim is an enigma in March.
Syracuse could either lose in the first round or get their shit together
and make a Final Four run. Neither would
surprise me, although I prefer the former.
5. VCU.
Bilas picked them, and he's never wrong.
Teams
seeded 4 or lower who may not make it to the second weekend:
1. Duke.
'Cause fuck Duke.
2. Kansas State.
I don't trust Bruce Webber in March.
If the Wildcats make it to the second round, they will likely face
Wisconsin, and Bo Ryan is familiar enough with Webber to come up with a solid
game plan (which usually involves slowing the pace to a turtle's crawl,
scowling, and having 6'10" white guys shoot threes).
3. Marquette.
Davidson should not be overlooked, nor should the winner of the
Butler/Bucknell game.
4. New Mexico.
I think New Mexico is a very good team, but for some reason, they never
seem to get it together in March, and it wouldn't surprise me to see the Lobos
lose to a fired-up Arizona team in the second round.
5. Syracuse.
If they make it past a tough matchup with Montana, they get the winner
of UNLV/Cal.
Teams
seeded 12 or higher with the best chance of pulling an upset in the first round:
1. California.
Mike Montgomery is a very good coach, and I think they may catch UNLV
off guard.
2. Davidson.
The Wildcats are always a tough out in March, as Steph Curry proved a
few years ago when he led Davidson to the Elite 8 and within a basket of the
Final Four. Sure, they don't have Curry
anymore, but they are still dangerous, and Marquette better be ready.
3. Mississippi.
The Rebs are streaky, and guard Marshall Henderson is a lightning
rod. If they get hot like they did in
the SEC tournament, Wisconsin (and maybe Kansas State) are in trouble.
4. Oregon.
The Pac-12 tournament champs got screwed with a 12-seed, so I am
guessing they will be fired up.
5. South Dakota State. The Jackrabbits have Wooden Award finalist
Nate Wolters, and if Michigan's not careful, he could go off for 45 and lead
SDSU to an upset. Go forth.
Yesterday
pretty much sucked, basketball-wise anyway.IU continued to make Wisconsin look like a better team than it is by
scoring a season-low 56 points, losing in the Big Ten Tournament semis.The loss shouldn't cost IU a 1-seed in the
NCAA Tournament, but given that Louisville won the Big East Tournament, IU may
not be getting the 1-seed in the Midwest (where the first two rounds would be
in Dayton and the Sweet 16 and Elite 8 would be in Indy).If they do end up in the East, it wouldn't be
terrible (probably Lexington or Dayton then Washington), but obviously
Indianapolis is a lot bigger advantage for IU than DC.Such is life.March Madness is a fickle mistress.However, Wisconsin's win should mean that the Big Ten will have 5 teams
with a 4-seed or better.
The
NCAA Tournament Selection Show starts at 6 Eastern on CBS.
The
last four automatic bids are up for grabs today. Here are the details (all times are Eastern)
and my predicted winner
ACC
(1 p.m.; ESPN) (1) Miami vs. (3) North Carolina. Winner:
Miami
Atlantic
10 (1 p.m.; CBS) (1) St. Louis vs. (2) VCU.
Winner: VCU
Big
Ten (3:30 p.m.; CBS) (2) Ohio State vs. (4) Wisconsin. Winner:
Ohio State
Here
is who has already clinched an automatic berth.
I added in parentheses the number of NCAA tournament appearances,
including the bid just clinched, and the team's last NCAA Tournament appearance,
where applicable.
Well,
the Hoosiers avenged that mid-season loss to Illinois with a commanding
victory, with Victor
Oladipo providing the exclamation mark.
To quote Clark Kellogg, Oladipo is "like a baby's bottom, smooth
and sometimes explosive." Up
tomorrow in the semis are the Badgers, who have beaten the Hoosiers eleven
straight times. It would seem to me that
it is time for their uppance to come.
Two
AP Top 5 teams went down. Big East
1-seed and #5 Georgetown lost to Syracuse, as at least one person writing this
sentence predicted. ACC 2-seed and #2
Duke was taken down by Maryland, probably costing the Blue Devils a 1-seed in
the NCAA Tournament. Fear the Turtle.
I
was also happy to see Kentucky get rolled by Vanderbilt. Do the right thing, NCAA Tournament Selection
Committee, and send Calipari to the NIT.
Tomorrow,
there are 13 NCAA Tournament bids up for grabs, with games spanning 12+ hours.
America
East (11:30 a.m.; ESPN2) - (4) Albany at (2) Vermont
Conference
USA (11:30 a.m.; CBS) - (1) Memphis vs. (2) Southern Mississippi
MEAC
(5:00 p.m.; ESPNU) - (5) Morgan State. vs. (7) North Carolina A&T
Big
12 (6 p.m.; ESPN) - (1) Kansas vs. (2) Kansas State
Mountain
West (6 p.m.; CBS Sports) - (1) New Mexico vs. (2) Colorado State or (3) UNLV
MAC
(6:30 p.m.; ESPN2) - (1) Akron vs. (2) Ohio
Big
East (8:30 p.m.; ESPN) - (2) Louisville vs. (5) Syracuse
Southland
(8:30 p.m.; ESPN2) - (1) Stephen F. Austin vs. (2) Northwestern State
Big
Sky (9 p.m.; ESPNU) - (1) Montana vs. (2) Weber State
Big
West (10:30 p.m.; ESPN2) - (4) UC Irvine vs. (2) Pacific or (3) Cal Poly
Pac-12
(11 p.m.; ESPN) - (3) Oregon or (10) Utah vs. (1) UCLA. Winner:
UCLA
WAC
(11 p.m.; ESNPU) - (4) UT Arlington or (9) UTSA vs. (3) New Mexico State
This
will probably be my last update before Selection Sunday, as I will likely be in
no condition tomorrow to compose sentences or track anything. Perhaps I will be able to string something together
Sunday morning.
Here
is who has already clinched an automatic berth, as well as my predictions for
the remaining conference tournaments.
(Note: The Great West Conference
holds a tournament, but does not receive an automatic bid to the NCAA
tournament, so I am not including it here.)
Already
clinched automatic berths (I added in parentheses the number of NCAA tournament
appearances, including the bid just clinched):
In
the A-10, the ending to the Charlotte/Richmond game was one of the craziest
finishes to a game I've seen in a long time.
Richmond was up 63-60 with less than five seconds left, fouled
Charlotte, and then all hell broke loose.
A flagrant foul, a foul on a half-court three pointer, and a technical
foul on Richmond meant that Charlotte scored 8 points in the final five
seconds, all on free throws, to win 68-63.
The
Madness in the MEAC continued, as 3-seed Hampton and 4-seed Savannah State both
lost, leaving 5-seed Morgan State as the highest remaining seed.
In
the wiggity wiggity wiggity wiggity wiggity wiggity WAC, 2-seed Denver was
ousted by 7-seed Texas State, all but ending any NCAA Tournament hopes for the
Pioneers, and then 1-seed Louisiana Tech lost to 9-21 UTSA. Louisiana Tech had been ranked at some point
recently, and has an RPI of 48, so it will be interesting to see if they get an
NCAA Tournament bid.
In
the Big Ten, Illinois bounced Minnesota with a buzzer-beating jumper from
Brandon Paul, and Purdue clinched its CBI bid by getting beaten by basketball
powerhouse Nebraska. Minnesota should
still be in the NCAA Tournament, but this one still has to hurt.
In
the Pac-12, 2-seed Cal got knocked off by 10-seed Utah. The Golden Bears were projected as a 9-seed
by Joe Lunardi, so they should still get an invitation to the Big Dance.
In
the Big 12, Baylor's bubble was likely burst with a loss to Oklahoma State.
And,
in the ACC, some Quebecois kid on Boston College named Olivier set an ACC
freshman record by scoring 41 points in BC's win over Georgia Tech.
As
I mentioned yesterday, there are no more championship games until Saturday, but
here are some matchups tomorrow that I am looking forward to (times are
Eastern):
Big
Ten Quarterfinals (12 p.m.; ESPN): (1) Indiana
vs. (8) Illinois. The Hoosiers will be
looking for some payback for that mid-season collapse in Champaign. Illinois will be looking to improve their
NCAA Tournament seed. I hope IU wins by
at least 9 1/2 points.
Big
Ten Quarterfinals (2:30 p.m.; ESPN) (4) Wisconsin vs. (5) Michigan. This should be a good game. Michigan is ranked 6th in the country, but is
the 5th seed in the Big Ten.
Atlantic
10 Quarterfinals (2:30 p.m.; NBC Sports): (4) LaSalle vs. (5) Butler. Butler went from a Top 10 team to the 5-seed
in the A-10 tournament, but the Bulldogs are a lock for the NCAA Tournament. LaSalle is firmly on the bubble, landing at
the top of Joe Lunardi's Last Four In.
As we've learned the last few years, don't sleep on the Bulldogs in
March.
Big
East Semifinals (7 p.m.; ESPN): (1) Georgetown vs. (5) Syracuse. Georgetown beat Syracuse both times they met
in the regular season, and, barring an unlikely meeting in the NCAA Tournament,
this will be the last time these two teams will play each other as members of
the Big East
Here
is who has already clinched an automatic berth, as well as my predictions for
the remaining conference tournaments.
(Note: The Great West Conference
holds a tournament, but does not receive an automatic bid to the NCAA
tournament, so I am not including it here.)
Already
clinched automatic berths (I added in parentheses the number of NCAA tournament
appearances, including the bid just clinched):
Atlantic
Sun: Florida Gulf Coast (1)
Big
South: Liberty (3)
Colonial: James Madison (5)
Horizon: Valparaiso (8)
Ivy
League: Harvard (3)
MAAC: Iona (10)
MVC: Creighton (18)
NEC: LIU-Brooklyn (6)
OVC: Belmont (6)
Patriot: Bucknell (6)
Southern: Davidson
Summit: South Dakota State (2)
Sun
Belt: Western Kentucky (23)
West
Coast: Gonzaga (16)
Remaining
Tournaments (all times are Eastern):
ACC
(March 14-17; Greensboro)
3/15
- Quarterfinals
12
p.m. (ESPN2) (1) Miami vs. (8) Boston College.
Winner: Miami
2
p.m. (ESPN2) (4) Virginia vs. (5) NC State.
Winner: NC State
7
p.m. (ESPN2) (2) Duke vs. (7) Maryland.
Winner: Duke
9
p.m. (ESPN2) (3) North Carolina vs. (6) Florida State. Winner:
North Carolina
In honor of St. Patrick's Day, here is a live video of one of my favorite songs from Ireland's greatest rock and roll band of all-time. Phil Lynott's hair is awesome.
We're
almost halfway through the automatic bids, as Bucknell beat Lafayette for the
Patriot League title. It seems like
Bucknell is always in the tournament, but this is actually only their sixth Big
Dance. The Patriot League champion has
been known to be a tough out in the NCAA Tournament, as Duke found out last
year with Lehigh, Kansas found out in 2005 with Bucknell, and the whole damn
country found out in 1947 with Holy Cross.
Just so we're clear, Holy Cross has won more NCAA championships than
Purdue and Illinois combined.
Meanwhile,
in a major upset –- as much as there can be a major upset in the MEAC –- 8-seed
Bethune-Cookman beat 1-seed Norfolk State.
As you may recall, Norfolk State beat 2-seed Missouri as a 15-seed in
last year's NCAA Tournament. Along with
Memphis and Gonzaga, Norfolk State was one of only three teams to go undefeated
in conference play during the regular season, going 16-0 in the MEAC. And then in the next game, the MEAC's 2-seed,
North Carolina Central, which was 15-1 in conference play, lost to 7-seed North
Carolina A&T. Madness!
On
the opposite end of the happiness spectrum, Grambling lost in the first round
of the SWAC tournament to finish the season 0-28, the first winless season for
a full D-1 member since 2004-2005, and only the eighth D-1 team to lose all of its
games in a season (with a minimum of ten games). The Tigers did, however, save some face by
keeping their losing margin to eight points –- the first time all season they
have not lost by double digits. Sadness!
There
are no more championship games until Saturday, but tomorrow, all of the remaining
conference tournaments start. There will
be 45 college basketball games tomorrow, and every single one of them means
something. The Big Ten Tournament will
start with a bang with the toughest 8/9 matchup in the country, as two teams
that at one time were ranked in the Top 10, Illinois and Minnesota, will meet
at Noon Eastern on the Big Ten Network.
Here
is who has already clinched an automatic berth, as well as my predictions for
the remaining conference tournaments.
(Note: The Great West Conference
holds a tournament, but does not receive an automatic bid to the NCAA
tournament, so I am not including it here.)
Already
clinched automatic berths (I added in parentheses the number of NCAA tournament
appearances, including the bid just clinched):
Atlantic
Sun: Florida Gulf Coast (1)
Big
South: Liberty (3)
Colonial: James Madison (5)
Horizon: Valparaiso (8)
Ivy
League: Harvard (3)
MAAC: Iona (10)
MVC: Creighton (18)
NEC: LIU-Brooklyn (6)
OVC: Belmont (6)
Patriot: Bucknell (6)
Southern: Davidson
Summit: South Dakota State (2)
Sun
Belt: Western Kentucky (23)
West
Coast: Gonzaga (16)
Remaining
Tournaments (all times are Eastern):
ACC
(March 14-17; Greensboro)
3/14
– First Round
12
p.m. (ESPNU) (8) Boston College vs. (9) Georgia Tech. Winner:
Georgia Tech
2
p.m. (ESPNU) (5) NC State vs. (12) Virginia Tech. Winner:
NC State
7
p.m. (ESPNU) (7) Maryland vs. (10) Wake Forest.
Winner: Maryland
9
p.m. (ESPNU) (6) Florida State vs. (11) Clemson. Winner:
Florida