Sunday, March 03, 2013

Updated Big Ten Tournament Seeding Predictions

We're through the looking glass, people.  It's March, and the madness has started.  Thanks to Wisconsin getting upset at home by Purdon't and Michigan knocking off Michigan State, IU has clinched a share of the Big Ten regular season title.  A win against Ohio State on Tuesday for Senior Night or at Michigan on Sunday will mean the Hoosiers' first outright Big Ten title since 1993, and all will be right again in the world.


Here are the current standings, with the conference record, each team's remaining games, and my predictions:

1.  Indiana (13-3):  OSU (W), at Michigan (L)
2 (tie).  Michigan (11-5):  at Purdue (W), IU (W)
2 (tie).  Michigan State (11-5):  Wisconsin (W), NW (W)
2 (tie).  Ohio State (11-5):  at IU (L), Illinois (W)
2 (tie).  Wisconsin (11-5):  at MSU (L), at PSU (W)
6 (tie).  Illinois (8-8):  at Iowa (W), at OSU (L)
6 (tie).  Minnesota (8-8):  at Nebraska (W), at Purdue (W)
7 (tie).  Iowa (7-9):  Illinois (L), Nebraska (W)
7 (tie).  Purdue (7-9):  Michigan (L), Minnesota (L)
10 (tie).  Northwestern (4-12):  PSU (W), at MSU (L)
10 (tie).  Nebraska (4-12):  Minnesota (L), at Iowa (L)
12.  Penn State (1-15):  at NW (L), Wisconsin (L)

Given my predictions and Big Ten tiebreaking rules, here is how the Big Ten Tournament seeds should fall into place and how the Big Ten Tournament will play out (all times are Central):

1.  Indiana (14-4)
2.  Michigan (13-5) (would have tiebreaker over MSU based on better record vs. IU than MSU)
3.  Michigan State (13-5)
4.  Wisconsin (12-6) (would have tiebreaker over OSU based on better record vs. IU than OSU)
5.  Ohio State (12-6)
6.  Minnesota (10-8)
7.  Illinois (9-9)
8.  Iowa (8-10)
9.  Purdue (7-11)
10.  Northwestern (5-13)
11.  Nebraska (4-14)
12.  Penn State (1-17)

Thursday, March 14, 2013
(8) Iowa vs. (9) Purdue (11 a.m., BTN).  Projected winner:  Iowa
(5) Ohio State vs. (12) Penn State (1:30 p.m., BTN).  Projected winner:  Ohio State
(7) Illinois vs. (10) Northwestern (5:30 p.m., ESPN2).  Projected winner:  Illinois
(6) Minnesota vs. (11) Nebraska (8 p.m., ESPN2).  Projected winner:  Minnesota

Friday, March 15, 2013
(1) IU vs. (8) Iowa (11 a.m., ESPN).  Projected winner:  IU
(4) Wisconsin vs. (5) Ohio State (1:30 p.m., ESPN).  Projected winner:  Ohio State
(2) Michigan vs. (7) Illinois (5:30 p.m., BTN).  Projected winner:  Michigan
(3) Michigan State vs. (6) Minnesota (8 p.m., BTN).  Projected winner:  Michigan State

Saturday, March 16, 2013
(1) IU vs. (4) Ohio State (12:40 p.m., CBS).  Projected winner:  IU
(2) Michigan vs. (3) Michigan State (3 p.m., CBS).  Projected winner:  Michigan State

Sunday, March 17, 2013
(1) IU vs. (2) Michigan State (2:30 p.m., CBS).  Projected winner:  IU

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