Wednesday, March 02, 2011

Updated Big Ten Tournament Seed Projections

Here are the updated standings and projections after Tuesday and Wednesday night's games. Thus far it's all going according to plan.

Here are the current standings, with each team's remaining games and predictions:

1. Ohio State (15-2). Remaining game: Wisconsin (W)
2. Purdue (14-3). Remaining game: at Iowa (W)
3. Wisconsin (12-4). Remaining games: at Indiana (W), at Ohio State (L)
4. Michigan State (9-8). Remaining game: at Michigan (L)
5 (tie). Illinois (8-9). Remaining game: Indiana (W)
5 (tie). Penn State (8-9). Remaining game: at Minnesota (L)
5 (tie). Michigan (8-9). Remaining game: Michigan State (W)
8. Northwestern (7-11). Regular season over.
9. Minnesota (6-11). Remaining game: Penn State (W)
10. Indiana (3-13). Remaining games: Wisconsin (L), at Illinois (L)
11. Iowa (3-14). Remaining game: Purdue (L)

Given my predictions and Big Ten tiebreaking rules, here is how the Big Ten Tournament seeds should fall into place and how the Big Ten Tournament will play out (all times are Eastern):

1. Ohio State (16-2)
2. Purdue (15-3)
3. Wisconsin (13-5)
4. Illinois (9-9)
5. Michigan (9-9)
6. Michigan State (9-9)
7. Penn State (8-10)
8. Minnesota (7-11)
9. Northwestern (7-11)
10. Iowa (3-15)
11. Indiana (3-15)

First Round - Thursday, March 10
-2:30 p.m. (ESPN2) - (8) Minnesota vs. (9) Northwestern. Winner: Minnesota
-25 minutes after previous game (ESPN2) - (7) Penn State vs. (10) Iowa. Winner: Penn State
-7:30 p.m. (BTN) - (6) Michigan State vs. (11) Indiana. Winner: Indiana

Quarterfinals - Friday, March 11
-Noon (ESPN) - (1) Ohio State vs. (8) Minnesota. Winner: Ohio State
-25 minutes after previous game (ESPN) - (4) Illinois vs. (5) Michigan. Winner: Michigan
-6:30 p.m. (BTN) - (2) Purdue vs. (7) Penn State. Winner: Purdue
-25 minutes after previous game (BTN) - (3) Wisconsin vs. (11) Indiana. Winner: Indiana

Semifinals - Saturday, March 12
-1:40 p.m. (CBS) - (1) Ohio State vs. (5) Michigan. Winner: Ohio State
-25 minutes after previous game (CBS) - (2) Purdue vs. (11) Indiana. Winner: Indiana

Championship - Sunday, March 13
Game 10 - 3:30 p.m. (CBS) - (1) Ohio State vs. (11) Indiana. Winner: Indiana

Believe it.

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