Monday, November 21, 2011

Undefeated After Week 12


The Hoosiers returned to their usual ways, helping Michigan State clinch the Big Ten Leaders Division title.  Amazingly, that wasn't the biggest story in college football this weekend.  #2 Oklahoma State lost for the first time this season, and three other top 10 one-loss teams lost (#4 Oregon, #5 Oklahoma, and #7 Clemson).

Now, for the first time in BCS history, the top 3 teams are from the same conference (and the same division within that conference, for that matter):  #1 LSU, #2 Alabama, and #3 Arkansas.  Of course, LSU and Arkansas play this weekend, so one of those teams is probably out of the championship discussion after this weekend.  This is horrible news because it puts Alabama in the driver's seat for the #2 BCS ranking, even though it won't even win its division in the SEC.  Outside of Louisiana and Alabama, no one wants to see a rematch of LSU and Alabama in the BCS championship game.  More field goals!

Frankly, if LSU and Houston are the only unbeaten teams at the end of the regular season, they should play in the BCS championship game.  But they won't because the BCS is fatally flawed to favor teams from BCS conferences.  Think about that match-up, though.  LSU's stifling defense against Case Keenum and Houston's insane offense.  Pipe dreams I'm sure, but as the last few weeks have proven, anything is possible this year.

Here is what I would like to happen:
-LSU loses to Arkansas
-Alabama loses to Auburn
-Arkansas loses to Georgia in the SEC championship game
-Oklahoma State beats Oklahoma
-Stanford beats Notre Dame
-Virginia Tech loses to Clemson in the ACC championship game
-Houston and Boise State win out

This would leave Houston as the only undefeated team and LSU, Oklahoma State, Stanford, and Boise State as the only one-loss teams.

Here is a breakdown of the undefeated teams and each team's remaining games (rankings are BCS rankings):

#1  LSU (11-0)
11/25 – #3 Arkansas (10-1)
12/3 – SEC Championship game vs. Georgia (9-2)
                                     
Remaining opponents' combined record:  19-3 (.864)

#8 Houston (11-0)
11/25 – at Tulsa (8-3)
12/3 – Conference USA Championship game (TBD)

Remaining opponents' combined record:  8-3 (.727)

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