AL Central and Wild Card Races

Building on my post from last week about the AL Central race, there is now another team to watch: the Boston Red Sox. Currently, the White Sox and Twins are tied atop in the AL Central at 77-60, and both teams are 3 games behind the Red Sox (80-57) in the AL Wild Card race. This is going to be an insano last month of baseball, as one of these teams (hopefully either the Twins or Red Sox) will not be making the playoffs.

All three teams are solid at home (White Sox, 46-22; Twins, 46-23; Red Sox, 46-19) and not so solid on the road (Sox, 31-38; Twins, 31-37; Red Sox, 34-38). Here's a look at their remaining schedules:

The White Sox have 25 more games scheduled: 13 home and 12 road:
-2 at Cleveland (.485, 37-32 at home)
-3 vs. Los Angeles (.610, 40-25 on the road)
-4 vs. Toronto (.515, 33-37 on the road)
-3 vs. Detroit (.482, 31-38 on the road)
-4 at New York (.533, 40-31 at home)
-3 at Kansas City (.419, 29-39 at home)
-3 at Minnesota (.562, 46-23 at home)
-3 vs. Cleveland (.485, 29-38 on the road)

The Twins have 25 more games: 12 home games and 13 road games.
-3 at Toronto (.515, 37-29 at home)
-3 vs. Detroit (.482, 31-38 on the road)
-3 vs. Kansas City (.419, 28-40 on the road)
-3 at Baltimore (.460, 33-31 at home)
-3 at Cleveland (.485, 37-32 at home)
-4 at Tampa Bay (.622, 52-19 at home)
-3 vs. Chicago (.562, 31-38 on the road)
-3 vs. Kansas City (.419, 28-40 on the road)

The Red Sox have 25 more games: 16 home and 9 road:
-2 vs. Baltimore (.460, 30-43 on the road)
-3 at Texas (.482, 33-34 at home)
-3 vs. Tampa Bay (.622, 32-32 on the road)
-4 vs. Toronto (.515, 33-37 on the road)
-3 at Tampa Bay (.622, 52-19 at home)
-3 at Toronto (.515, 37-29 at home)
-4 vs. Cleveland (.485, 29-38 on the road)
-3 vs. New York (.533, 33-33 on the road)

Going by the law of averages, the White Sox should go 9-4 at home and 5-7 on the road, to go 14-11 over their last 25 games and end up at 91-71. Meanwhile, the Twins should go 8-4 at home and 6-7 on the road, to go 14-11 over their last 25 games and end up at 91-71. The Red Sox should go 11-5 at home and 4-5 on the road, to go 15-10 over their last 25 games and end up at 95-67. This would mean that the White Sox and Twins would tie atop the AL Central and the Red Sox would win the AL Wild Card, pitting the winner of the one-game playoff between the White Sox and Twins against Tampa Bay and the Red Sox against the Los Angeles California Angels of Anaheim California in the ALDS.