AL Central Race

It's looking like it's going to come down to the wire in the AL Central, as the White Sox will travel to Minneapolis for a three-game series with the Twins starting tonight. I would have liked the Sox to be at least 3 games up going in, but I guess I can settle for 3 up in the loss column. Their magic number is 5, so a sweep would clinch the division.

Here are their current records (overall, home, road):
-Chicago: 86-69, 51-26, 35-43
-Minnesota (2.5 games back): 84-72, 49-26, 35-46

Here are their remaining schedules:

The White Sox have 7 more games scheduled: 4 home and 3 road:
-3 at Minnesota (.538, 49-26 at home)
-3 vs. Cleveland (.503, 33-41 on the road)
-1 vs. Detroit (.461, 34-46 on the road) (this is a make-up game and will only be played if necessary)

The Twins have 6 more games, all of which are at home
-3 vs. Chicago (.555, 35-43 on the road)
-3 vs. Kansas City (.449, 32-43 on the road)

Going by the law of averages, the White Sox should go 3-1 at home and 1-2 on the road, to go 4-3 over their last 7 games and end up at 90-72 (although technically this would mean that the Sox would have clinched the division without needing the last game). Meanwhile, the Twins should go 4-2 over their last 6 games and end up at 88-74. Thus, the White Sox would end up playing whoever wins the AL East (Tampa or Boston) in the ALDS, and the AL Wild Card winner will play the Angels.