Monday, February 29, 2016

IU's Big Ten Tournament Seeding Possibilities

Okay, folks, I went for it.  I decided to try to map out the potential Big Ten Tournament seeding scenarios for IU given multiple win/loss situations over the last five days of the Big Ten's regular season.    

Currently, IU is 2 games ahead of Iowa, Maryland, Michigan State, and Wisconsin, but technically all four of the other teams have a chance to share the Big Ten regular season title with IU.  Here are the current standings for the top five teams, with the remaining games:
1.  Indiana (13-3):  at Iowa; Maryland
2 (tie).  Iowa (11-5):  Indiana; at Michigan
2 (tie).  Maryland (11-5):  Illinois; at Indiana
2 (tie).  Michigan State (11-5):  at Rutgers; Ohio State
2 (tie).  Wisconsin (11-5):  at Minnesota; at Purdue

That's a nice little cluster we have going there.  Technically, IU can be seeded anywhere from 1 to 5, depending on how everything shakes out, in light of the Big Ten tiebreaking rules.  I think I figured out just about all of the possibilities.  Here they are.  And yes, I realize I have a problem.

IU will get the #1 seed if:
1.  IU wins at least one of its remaining two games
2.  IU loses to both Iowa and Maryland, but both Iowa and Maryland lose their other remaining game, and Michigan State and Wisconsin both lose at least one more game.

IU will get the #2 seed if:
1.  IU ties only with Iowa (i.e., IU loses out, Iowa wins out, Maryland loses to Illinois and beats IU, and Michigan State and Wisconsin both lose at least one of their remaining two games)
2.  IU ties only with Maryland (i.e., IU loses out, Maryland wins out, Iowa beats IU and loses to Michigan, and Michigan State and Wisconsin both lose at least one of their remaining two games)
3.  IU ties only with Michigan State (i.e., IU loses out, Iowa beats IU and loses to Michigan, Maryland loses to Illinois and beats IU, and Wisconsin loses one of its two remaining games)
4.  IU ties only with Wisconsin (i.e., IU loses out, Iowa beats IU but loses to Michigan, Maryland loses to Illinois and beats IU, and Michigan State loses at least one of its remaining two games)
5.  IU ties with Iowa and Maryland and Michigan State beats Rutgers and loses to Ohio State, and Wisconsin loses to Minnesota and beats Purdue.
6.  IU ties with Iowa and Wisconsin (i.e., IU loses out, Iowa and Wisconsin win out, Maryland loses to Illinois and beats IU, and Michigan State loses at least one of its remaining two games)

IU will get the #3 seed if:
1.  IU ties with Iowa and Maryland and Michigan State loses both of its remaining games or loses to Rutgers but beats Ohio State, Wisconsin loses both of its remaining games or loses to Purdue but beats Minnesota.
2.  IU ties with Iowa and Michigan State (i.e., IU loses out, Iowa and Michigan State win out, Maryland loses to Illinois and beats IU, and Wisconsin loses at least one of its remaining two games)
3.  IU ties with Maryland and Michigan State (i.e., IU loses out, Maryland and MSU win out, Iowa loses to Michigan, and Wisconsin loses at least one of its remaining games)
4.  IU ties with Maryland and Wisconsin (i.e., IU loses out, Maryland and Wisconsin win out, Iowa loses to Michigan, and Michigan State loses one of its remaining games)
5.  IU ties with Michigan State and Wisconsin (i.e., IU loses out, MSU and Wisconsin win out, Iowa loses to Michigan, and Maryland loses to Illinois)
6.  IU ties with Iowa, Maryland, and Wisconsin (i.e., IU loses out, Iowa, Maryland, and Wisconsin win out, and Michigan State loses one of its remaining two games)

IU will get the #4 seed if:
1.  IU ties with Iowa, Maryland and Michigan State (i.e., IU loses out, Iowa, Maryland, and MSU win out, and Wisconsin loses at least one of its remaining games)
2.  IU ties with Iowa, Michigan State, and Wisconsin (i.e., IU loses out, Iowa, MSU, and Wisconsin win out, and Maryland loses to Illinois)
3.  IU ties with Maryland, Michigan State, and Wisconsin (i.e., IU loses out, Maryland, MSU, and Wisconsin win out, and Iowa loses to Michigan)

IU will get the #5 seed if:
1.  All five teams tie at 13-5 (i.e., IU loses out, and Iowa, Maryland, MSU, and Wisconsin win out)

In sum, please win at least one more game, Hoosiers.  Both would be really nice.

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