Updated Championship Week Predictions

We had some upsets, some heartbreak, and some great games.  Here are some highlights from yesterday's Championship Week action:

• Fucking Hoosiers.
• In a huge upset, Big East top seed Villanova (ranked #3 in both polls) lost in the quarterfinals to 8-seed Seton Hall, potentially costing the Wildcats a #1 seed in the NCAA Tournament depending on how some other conference tournaments shake out.
• In the AAC, 3-seed SMU (ranked #25 in the AP and #23 in the coaches poll) fell to 6-seed Houston.  Meanwhile, 1-seed Louisville beat 8-seed Rutgers by 61 points, 92-31.  I haven't seen a score that lopsided since my Soviet-themed intramural team The Red Army lost by 69 at the IU HPER building back at the turn of the century.
• In the Big Ten, 11-seed Northwestern beat 6-seed Iowa, giving the Hawkeyes their 6th loss in their last 7 games.  Iowa is still a lock for the NCAA Tournament, but in the last few weeks, they've played themselves from a 3-4 seed to probably a 9-11 seed.
• In the Big West, 7-seed Cal Poly trounced my pick to win the conference tournament, 2-seed UC Santa Barbara, sending the Gauchos back to their beautiful ocean-side campus with their bistec between their legs.
• Big 12 top seed Kansas needed overtime to beat 8-seed Oklahoma State.
• In the SEC, 13-seed South Carolina may have ended 5-seed Arkansas's NCAA Tournament hopes with a 71-69 victory, especially after the Razorbacks lost last weekend to 13-18 Alabama.
• Bubble teams that won yesterday:  Dayton, Florida State, Louisiana Tech, Minnesota, Missouri, Pittsburgh, Providence, Southern Miss, Stanford, Xavier
• Bubble teams that lost yesterday:  Arizona State, Arkansas, Cal, Georgetown, St. John's, West Virginia

Again, there are no championship games today, but 18 total tournaments have games today, all with semifinal or quarterfinal matchups (on the list below, I've noted those tournaments in the quarterfinals -- everything else is in the semis).

Here are the tournaments with games today, bids up for grab today, who has already clinched an automatic berth, and my predictions for the remaining conference tournaments. 

Tournaments with games today:

-AAC
-ACC (quarterfinals)
-Atlantic 10 (quarterfinals)
-Big 12
-Big East
-Big Sky
-Big Ten (quarterfinals)
-Big West
-Conference USA
-MAC
-MEAC
-Mountain West
-Pac-12
-SEC (quarterfinals)
-Southland
-Sun Belt (quarterfinals)
-SWAC
-WAC

Bids up for grabs today (in chronological order; all times Eastern):

-None

Already clinched automatic berths (in parentheses is the school's number of NCAA tournament appearances, including the bid just clinched):

-Atlantic Sun:  Mercer (3)
-Big South:  Coastal Carolina (3)
-Colonial:  Delaware (5)
-Horizon:  Milwaukee (4)
-Ivy League:  Harvard (4)
-MAAC:  Manhattan (7)
-Missouri Valley:  Wichita State (11)
-Northeast:  Mount St. Mary's (4)
-Ohio Valley:  Eastern Kentucky (8)
-Patriot League:  American (3)
-Southern:  Wofford (3)
-Summit League:  North Dakota State (2)
-West Coast:  Gonzaga (17)

Remaining Tournaments (all times are Eastern):

AAC (March 12-15; Memphis)

3/14 - Semifinals

7 p.m. (ESPN/ESPN2) (1) Cincinnati vs. (4) UConn.  Winner:  Cincinnati

9 p.m. (ESPN/ESPN2) (2) Louisville vs. (6) Houston.  Winner:  Louisville

3/15 - Finals

6 p.m. (ESPN) (1) Cincinnati vs. (2) Louisville.  Winner:  Louisville

ACC (March 12-16; Greensboro)

3/14 - Quarterfinals

12 p.m. (ESPN2) (1) Virginia vs. (9) Florida State.  Winner:  Virginia

2 p.m. (ESPN2) (4) North Carolina vs. (5) Pittsburgh.  Winner:  North Carolina

7 p.m. (ESPN2) (2) Syracuse vs. (7) NC State.  Winner:  Syracuse

9 p.m. (ESPN2) (3) Duke vs. (6) Clemson.  Winner:  Duke

3/15 - Semifinals

1 p.m. (ESPN) (1) Virginia vs. (4) North Carolina.  Winner:  Virginia

3 p.m. (ESPN) (2) Syracuse vs. (3) Duke.  Winner:  Duke

3/16 - Finals

1 p.m. (ESPN) (1) Virginia vs. (3) Duke.  Winner:  Virginia

America East (March 8-9, 15; Albany, then the highest remaining seed hosts final)

3/15 - Finals

11:30 a.m. (ESPN2) (4) Albany at (2) Stony Brook.  Winner:  Stony Brook

Atlantic 10 (March 12-16; Brooklyn)

3/14 - Quarterfinals

12 p.m. (NBC Sports) (1) St. Louis vs. (9) St. Bonaventure.  Winner:  St. Louis

2 p.m. (NBC Sports) (4) St. Joseph's vs. (5) Dayton.  Winner:  Dayton

6:30 p.m. (NBC Sports) (2) VCU vs. (7) Richmond.  Winner:  VCU

9 p.m. (NBC Sports) (3) George Washington vs. (6) UMass.  Winner:  UMass

3/15 - Semifinals

1:30 p.m. (CBS Sports) (1) St. Louis vs. (5) Dayton.  Winner:  St. Louis

4 p.m. (CBS Sports) (2) VCU vs. (6) UMass.  Winner:  VCU

3/16 - Finals

1 p.m. (CBS) (1) St. Louis vs. (2) VCU.  Winner:  St. Louis

Big 12 (March 12-15; Kansas City)

3/14 - Semifinals

7 p.m. (Big 12 Network/ESPNU) (1) Kansas vs. (4) Iowa State.  Winner:  Iowa State

9:30 p.m. (Big 12 Network/ESPNU) (3) Texas vs. (7) Baylor.  Winner:  Baylor

3/15 - Finals

9 p.m. (ESPN) (4) Iowa State vs. (7) Baylor.  Winner:  Iowa State

Big East (March 12-15; New York)

3/14 - Semifinals

7 p.m. (Fox Sports 1) (8) Seton Hall vs. (4) Providence.  Winner:  Providence

9:30 p.m. (Fox Sports 1) (2) Creighton vs. (3) Xavier.  Winner:  Creighton

3/15 - Finals

8:30 p.m. (Fox Sports 1) (4) Providence vs. (2) Creighton.  Winner:  Creighton

Big Sky (March 13-15; Ogden, UT)

3/14 - Semifinals

6:30 p.m. (2) North Dakota vs. (5) Portland State.  Winner:  Montana

9:30 p.m. (1) Weber State vs. (6) Northern Colorado.  Winner:  Weber State

3/15 - Finals

8 p.m. (ESPNU) (1) Weber State vs. (4) Montana.  Winner:  Weber State

Big Ten (March 13-16; Indianapolis)

3/14 - Quarterfinals

12 p.m. (ESPN/ESPN2) (1) Michigan vs. (9) Illinois.  Winner:  Michigan

2:30 p.m. (ESPN/ESPN2) (4) Nebraska vs. (5) Ohio State.  Winner:  Ohio State

6:30 p.m. (BTN) (2) Wisconsin vs. (7) Minnesota.  Winner:  Minnesota

9 p.m. (BTN) (3) Michigan State vs. (11) Northwestern.  Winner:  Michigan State

3/15 - Semifinals

1:40 p.m. (CBS) (1) Michigan vs. (5) Ohio State.  Winner:  Michigan

4 p.m. (CBS) (7) Minnesota vs. (3) Michigan State.  Winner:  Michigan State

3/16 - Finals

3:30 p.m. (CBS) (1) Michigan vs. (3) Michigan State.  Winner:  Michigan State

Big West (March 13-15; Anaheim)

3/14 - Semifinals

9:30 p.m. (ESPN3) (1) UC Irvine vs. (5) Cal State Northridge.  Winner:  UC Irvine

11:59 p.m. (ESPNU) (7) Cal Poly vs. (3) Long Beach State.  Winner:  Long Beach State

3/15 - Finals

10:30 p.m. (ESPN2) (1) UC Irvine vs. (3) Long Beach State.  Winner:  UC Irvine

Conference USA (March 11-15; El Paso)

3/14 - Semifinals

4 p.m. (CBS Sports) (2) Tulsa vs. (3) Middle Tennessee.  Winner:  Middle Tennessee

6:30 p.m. (CBS Sports) (1) Louisiana Tech vs. (4) Southern Miss.  Winner:  Louisiana Tech

3/15 - Finals

11:30 a.m. (CBS) (1) Louisiana Tech vs. (3) Middle Tennessee.  Winner:  Louisiana Tech

MAC (March 10, 12-15; first round at campus sites of higher seed; remaining rounds in Cleveland)

3/14 - Semifinals

6:30 p.m. (Time Warner Cable Sports Channel Ohio) (1) Western Michigan vs. (4) Akron.  Winner:  Western Michigan

9 p.m. (Time Warner Cable Sports Channel Ohio) (2) Toledo vs. (6) Eastern Michigan.  Winner:  Toledo

3/15 - Finals

6:30 p.m. (ESPN2) (1) Western Michigan vs. (2) Toledo.  Winner:  Toledo

MEAC (March 10-15; Norfolk, VA)

3/14 – Semifinals

6:00 p.m. (1) North Carolina Central vs. (4) Norfolk State.  Winner:  North Carolina Central

8:00 p.m. (7) Coppin State vs. (3) Morgan State.  Winner:  Hampton

3/15 – Final

6:00 p.m. (ESPNU) (1) North Carolina Central vs. (2) Hampton.  Winner:  North Carolina Central

Mountain West (March 12-15; Las Vegas)

3/14 – Semifinals

9 p.m. (CBS Sports) (1) San Diego State vs. (4) UNLV.  Winner:  San Diego State

11:30 p.m. (CBS Sports) (2) New Mexico vs. (6) Boise State.  Winner:  New Mexico

3/15 – Finals

6 p.m. (CBS) (1) San Diego State vs. (2) New Mexico.  Winner:  San Diego State

Pac-12 (March 12-15; Las Vegas)

3/14 – Semifinals

9 p.m. (Pac-12 Network) (1) Arizona vs. (5) Colorado.  Winner:  Arizona

11:30 p.m. (Fox Sports 1) (6) Stanford vs. (2) UCLA.  Winner:  UCLA

3/15 – Finals

6 p.m. (Fox Sports 1) (1) Arizona vs. (2) UCLA.  Winner:  Arizona

SEC (March 12-16; Atlanta)

3/14 - Quarterfinals

1 p.m. (ESPNU) (1) Florida vs. (8) Missouri.  Winner:  Florida

3 p.m. (ESPNU) (4) Tennessee vs. (13) South Carolina.  Winner:  Tennessee

7 p.m. (SEC TV) (2) Kentucky vs. (7) LSU.  Winner:  Kentucky

9 p.m. (SEC TV) (3) Georgia vs. (6) Mississippi.  Winner:  Georgia

3/15 - Semifinals

1 p.m. (ABC) (1) Florida vs. (4) Tennessee.  Winner:  Florida

3 p.m. (ABC) (2) Kentucky vs. (3) Georgia.  Winner:  Kentucky

3/16 - Finals

3:15 p.m. (ESPN) (1) Florida vs. (2) Kentucky.  Winner:  Florida

Southland (March 12-15; Katy, TX)

3/14 – Semifinals

6 p.m. (ESPN3) (1) Stephen F. Austin vs. (4) Northwestern State.  Winner:  Stephen F. Austin

8:30 p.m. (ESPN3) (2) Texas A&M Corpus Christi vs. (3) Sam Houston State.  Winner:  Sam Houston State

3/15 – Finals

8:30 p.m. (ESPN2) (1) Stephen F. Austin vs. (3) Sam Houston State.  Winner:  Stephen F. Austin

Sun Belt (March 13-16; New Orleans)

3/14 – Second Round

7 p.m. (Sun Belt Network) (4) Arkansas State vs. (5) UALR.  Winner:  Arkansas State

9:30 p.m. (Sun Belt Network) (3) Louisiana-Lafayette vs. (6) UT-Arlington.  Winner:  Louisiana-Lafayette

3/15 – Semifinals

3 p.m. (Sun Belt Network) (1) Georgia State vs. (4) Arkansas State.  Winner:  Georgia State

5:30 p.m. (Sun Belt Network) (2) Western Kentucky vs. (3) Louisiana-Lafayette.  Winner:  Western Kentucky

3/16 – Finals

1 p.m. (ESPN2) (1) Georgia State vs. (2) Western Kentucky.  Winner:  Georgia State

SWAC (March 11-15; Houston)

3/14 - Semifinals

3:30 p.m. (2) Texas Southern vs. (3) Alabama State.  Winner:  Texas Southern

9:30 p.m. (8) Prairie View A&M vs. (5) Alabama A&M.  Winner:  Alabama A&M

3/15 - Finals

4:30 p.m. (ESPN2) (5) Alabama A&M vs. (2) Texas Southern.  Winner:  Texas Southern

WAC (March 13-15; Las Vegas)

3/14 – Semifinals

9 p.m. (1) Utah Valley State vs. (5) Idaho.  Winner:  Utah Valley State

11:30 p.m. (2) New Mexico State vs. (6) Cal State Bakersfield.  Winner:  New Mexico State.

3/15 – Finals

10 p.m. (ESPNU) (1) Utah Valley State vs. (2) New Mexico State.  Winner:  New Mexico State